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What can trigger a new growth cycle for Bitcoin?
Experts are increasingly pointing to a key factor that could become the catalyst for another upward movement in the world's leading cryptocurrency. Following the massive sell-off on September 22—when the market lost over $1.7 billion in one day due to mass liquidation— Bitcoin has begun to show signs of stabilization.
From altcoins - back to “digital gold”
In Q3 2025, Bitcoin traded in a narrow range between $110,000 and $120,000, maintaining low volatility. During this time, investors actively shifted to altcoins, especially amid a surge in interest in assets such as ASTER, HYPE, and PUMP. However, recent market turmoil and the arrival of October—a month traditionally associated with BTC growth—may once again shift the focus back to Bitcoin.
As analysts at QCP Capital note, the altseason index plummeted from 100 to 65 points, signaling a decline in interest in smaller assets. At the same time, Bitcoin's share of total crypto market capitalization jumped above 58%, while Ethereum's share fell to 12%—its lowest level in recent months. This may indicate a return of capital to proven and liquid instruments.
Institutions are not slowing down
Despite the short-term correction, interest from major players remains stable. Companies like Strategy and Metaplanet continue to add to their Bitcoin reserves, demonstrating confidence in the asset's long-term prospects. Furthermore, over the past week, there has been a significant influx of funds into spot Bitcoin ETFs, indicating a willingness on the part of investors to buy on the decline.
September was a surprise, October promises more
Although September is historically considered one of the weakest months for the crypto market, Bitcoin has grown more than 4% since the beginning of the month in 2025. QCP Capital analysts emphasize that, ahead of October, which in previous years has often served as the starting point for powerful bullish trends, BTC's future performance will increasingly depend on the macroeconomic situation in the US—specifically, the Federal Reserve's decisions, inflation data, and employment data.
Scarcity as a price driver
Fidelity experts previously warned that over 6 million bitcoins could disappear from circulation by the end of the year. These will be held by large holders and institutional funds that have no immediate plans to sell. Analysts predict this artificial shortage will create additional pressure on the price and help keep Bitcoin above the psychologically important $110,000 mark.
Thus, a combination of factors—from investors' renewed interest in Bitcoin and institutional activity to the expected supply reduction—creates fertile ground for a new round of growth for the world's leading cryptocurrency.
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